Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 21.880545 25.196536 28.768863 32.894133 37.516886 42.527508 48.359375
2025-10-12 17.089402 21.905560 27.568254 34.670297 43.287802 53.351220 65.933554
2025-10-19 13.662937 19.085903 25.918500 35.051500 46.817775 61.333823 80.446091
2025-10-26 11.263184 16.938276 24.519959 35.205228 49.660832 68.297048 93.855831
2025-11-02 9.306084 14.972554 22.954912 34.747529 51.398833 73.696853 105.359790
2025-11-09 7.752911 13.289284 21.481847 34.117688 52.661321 78.347134 115.954392
2025-11-16 6.491134 11.822399 20.088373 33.361260 53.545564 82.379444 125.779360
2025-11-23 5.350916 10.354634 18.479275 32.047952 53.402092 84.817122 133.353492
2025-11-30 4.879255 9.928353 18.443451 33.124777 56.874721 92.640291 149.048295
2025-12-07 4.477967 9.559556 18.442734 34.223019 60.411276 100.706348 165.466706
2025-12-14 3.853229 8.679015 17.457486 33.570855 61.064103 104.358901 175.357263
2025-12-21 3.290669 7.824949 16.408683 32.684152 61.220111 107.181599 184.035823
2025-12-28 3.155231 7.845045 17.016608 34.868019 66.855999 119.308322 208.375530
2026-01-04 2.967116 7.734256 17.381147 36.676785 72.039162 131.100065 232.976058
2026-01-11 2.645236 7.273458 17.004785 37.067028 74.755098 138.976213 251.658139
2026-01-18 2.344007 6.801811 16.540292 37.226663 77.040484 146.221298 269.623703
2026-01-25 2.029189 6.233908 15.795512 36.746216 78.086380 151.365458 284.284836
2026-02-01 1.745204 5.683065 15.008432 36.085333 78.714323 155.774061 297.858591
2026-02-08 1.492590 5.158621 14.203723 35.291560 78.999723 159.549852 310.469572
2026-02-15 1.241535 4.578078 13.181597 33.913135 78.005949 160.922452 318.888082
2026-02-22 1.161139 4.479544 13.301079 35.043378 82.102658 171.810802 344.638505
2026-03-01 1.088290 4.388924 13.427465 36.195844 86.311162 183.095613 371.552358
2026-03-08 0.938461 4.016421 12.783700 35.511512 86.647553 187.085522 385.368121